Details

Charting China's Future

Charting China's Future

Political, Social, and International Dimensions

von: Jae Ho Chung

57,99 €

Verlag: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers
Format: EPUB
Veröffentl.: 24.08.2006
ISBN/EAN: 9780742573017
Sprache: englisch
Anzahl Seiten: 232

In den Warenkorb
Als Gutschein
DRM-geschütztes eBook, Sie benötigen z.B. Adobe Digital Editions und eine Adobe ID zum Lesen.

Beschreibungen

Titelbeschreibung

<span><span>China has become an undisputed global phenomenon, yet twenty-five years ago, its remarkable accomplishments were largely unforeseen. In an ambitious effort to predict China's coming decades, this book explores not only the economic development that has been a key indicator of its success but the often veiled political, social, and international determinants that will be crucial. Leading scholars draw on their years of experience and on-the-ground understanding of current trends to make informed estimates of China's path, positing that its future may well hold neither threat nor collapse. All of the contributors provide a set of scenarios and order them in terms of likelihood, including the seven factors they have identified as central to charting China's future: the Communist Party, local electoral reforms and rule of law, the federalist possibility, social unrest, foreign policy orientations, Sino-American relations, and the Taiwan conundrum. This book is a must-read for anyone who wants to understand China as it rises in power on the world stage.</span></span>
<br>
<span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Contributions by</span><span>: Jean-Pierre Cabestan, Jae Ho Chung, Bruce J. Dickson, Peter Hays Gries, Tao-chiu Lam, Yawei Liu, Gilbert Rozman, and Shiping Tang</span></span>

Titelkurzbeschreibung

<span><span>China has scored huge successes during the last quarter century and has already become a global phenomenon. Twenty-five years ago, however, China's remarkable accomplishments were largely unforeseen. This volume, consisting of nine essays based on "best informed guesses" that are guided by the contributors' concrete understanding of current trends, posits that the future of China is an open-ended question that may not be answered with either a threat or a collapse. All of the contributors provide a set of scenarios and order them in terms of likelihood, including the seven factors they have identified as central to charting China's future: the Communist Party, local electoral reforms and rule of law, the federalist possibility, social unrest, foreign policy orientations, Sino-American relations, and the Taiwan conundrum. This book is a must-read for anyone who wants to understand China as it rises in power on the world stage.</span></span>

Inhaltsverzeichnis

<span><span>Chapter 1: Forecasting China's Future: Scenarios, Uncertainties, and Determinants<br>Chapter 2: The Future of the Chinese Communist Party: Strategies of Survival and Prospects for Change<br>Chapter 3: The Rule of Law and Electoral Processes: Present and Future Forecasts<br>Chapter 4: The Federalist Possibility? Breaking the Chinese Exceptionalism<br>Chapter 5: Assessing the Odds against the Mandate of Heaven: Do the Numbers (on Instability) Really Matter?<br>Chapter 6: Projecting China's Foreign Policy: Determining Factors and Scenarios<br>Chapter 7: The Future of United States-China Relations: System, State, and Individual-Level Drivers<br>Chapter 8: The Taiwan Conundrum<br>Chapter 9: What Chinese Characteristics? Looking to the Past for Clues about the Future</span></span>

Autorenportrait

<span><span>Jae Ho Chung</span><span> is professor and chair of international relations at Seoul National University and author of </span><span>Central Control and Local Discretion in China</span><span> and </span><span>Between Ally and Partner: Korea-China Relations and the United States</span><span>.</span></span>